Global Timber and Wood Products Market Update

17 July 2012

Can changes in forest management regimes in British Columbia

mitigate the sharp reductions in timber harvests caused by the

mountain pine beetle?

 

Timber harvests in British Columbia plunged by over 40 percent between 2005 and 2009,

but have since recovered and were close to the 25-year average in 2011. As a

consequence of the infestation of the mountain pine beetle, long-term log supply is

estimated to be about 20 percent below historical levels unless different management

regimes are implemented.

Can changes in forest management regimes in British Columbia

mitigate the sharp reductions in timber harvests caused by the

mountain pine beetle?

Timber harvests in British Columbia plunged by over 40 percent between 2005 and 2009,

but have since recovered and were close to the 25-year average in 2011. As a

consequence of the infestation of the mountain pine beetle, long-term log supply is

estimated to be about 20 percent below historical levels unless different management

regimes are implemented.Seattle, USA.

2005 but fell dramatically the following four years to a 25-year low of just over 52

million m3 in 2009. Reduced demand for lumber in the US market, relatively high

manufacturing costs, export tariffs for shipments to the US and deteriorating sawlog

quality were the major reasons that consumption of sawlogs declined by over 40 percent

in a relatively short period of time.

Since the bottom in 2009, harvests have gone up thanks to a substantial increase in

exports of logs and lumber China, reports the Wood Resource Quarterly. In 2011,

harvested volumes reached 70 million m3 or close the average annual harvest before the

forests in the Interior of the province were hit by the mountain pine beetle infestation

Timber harvest in British Columbia reached a record 90 million m3 in 

 

2005 but fell dramatically the following four years to a 25-year low of just over 52

million m3 in 2009. Reduced demand for lumber in the US market, relatively high

manufacturing costs, export tariffs for shipments to the US and deteriorating sawlog

quality were the major reasons that consumption of sawlogs declined by over 40 percent

in a relatively short period of time.

Since the bottom in 2009, harvests have gone up thanks to a substantial increase in

exports of logs and lumber China, reports the Wood Resource Quarterly. In 2011,

harvested volumes reached 70 million m3 or close the average annual harvest before the

forests in the Interior of the province were hit by the mountain pine beetle infestation.

The beetle has infected just over 18 million hectares of forests and an estimated 710

million m3 of pine trees (53 percent of all pine volume in the province) are dead or dying.

Over the next 3-5 years, it is possible for harvest levels to increase in the Interior of the

province because of the availability of beetled-killed trees that need to be utilized before

the quality has deteriorated to the point when it can be used only for making pulp or for

energy generation, including the manufacturing of wood pellets. Long-term, harvest

levels are likely to be approximately 20 percent below historical levels.

(AAC) in four Timber Supply Areas (TSA) in the Interior of the province could be

reduced by almost 40 percent by 2020 as compared to the pre-beetle AAC. However, the

report also discusses opportunities to mitigate the sharp reduction in available supply by:

A. Investing in harvesting and mill equipment able to harvest small-diameter trees in

stands that are currently considered being uneconomical.

B. Intensifying silviculture management and increasing stand fertilization.

C. Harvesting in areas currently managed for non-timber values such as biodiversity and

wildlife habitat.

The report predicts that by utilizing smaller trees, investing in intensive forest

management and harvesting stands managed for non-timber values, future “mitigated-

AAC” may be only 10 percent lower than the pre-beetle AAC. This may of course never

happen, since the public will see the suggested changes in forest management regime as

quite controversial.